Whats next???

[ComradeP]

My bad, you're right, I thought for a moment that the maximum drop was 1, but that's just what tends to happen in clear terrain.

There are still few real supply black holes, and due to the ZOC rules, it's often possible to keep the Soviets from racing through forests by ZOC-blocking them, whilst keeping your men in a still reasonable supply state.

Also: although the decrease in your example is 32%, the actual decrease in percentage chance is 14%. The variability in the supply system can currently result in some extremes not influenced by player action. I've seen cases where units with 30-ish supply become Low Ammo virtually immediately, and situations where they didn't. On average, they will be Low Ammo soon, but it's a probability-driven system, not one governed by player action. That isn't a problem per se, but it can lead to odd situations from time to time.

The road network in Moscow '42 is also quite a bit better than I had expected it to be, so aside from the historical Soviet push into the woods northeast of Smolensk, there are few areas where supply is really scarce.

The significant drop also works both ways: moving back a hex or two in the right direction can significantly increase the probability of passing supply checks.

For the Germans, supply is mostly awful in the 2nd Panzer Group area. 3rd and 4th Panzer Group can generally withdraw to an area with a more reliable local supply value fairly quickly. A supply level below 50 won't cut it for a war of attrition, but it's enough to allow you to slow the Soviets down for a while.