Thats true Rev. But I still think an Axis win is possible without QFM. Just that much harder. There are so many factors that can influence the final result.
If the Axis gain a big victory somewhere with the Panzers then the game can end early with an Axis win. If the Soviets survive the initial Axis onslaught with the Panzers then they probably should win. Unless they have been crippled by the Panzers.
I don't think there is a perfect plan for this one. Every strategy has a counter. Thats why its such a good campaign.
Also I don't think there is another large PZC campaign scenario where player skill is so tested as in this one. You really have to be on the ball tactically, operationally and strategically to get away with this battle.