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1914_1106_01: The Turning Tide (3rd Invasion) - FWWC 03 Serbia '14

1914_1106_01: The Turning Tide (3rd Invasion) Image
Tiller Operational Campaigns Ladder

1914_1106_01: The Turning Tide (3rd Invasion)

By Edward Williams
Central Powers 4 - 0 - 0 Allied Powers
Rating: 9.64 (5)
Games Played: 4
SM: 10
Turns: 319
Type: Stock
First Side: Central Powers
Second Side: Allied Powers
Northwest Serbia, 6th November 1914:

After the second Austro-Hungarian invasion of Serbia sputtered to a halt in the last week of September, both sides dug in and trench warfare ensued that was extremely detrimental to the Serbian side. For the entire month of October, the Serbian line was bombarded with artillery, to which the Serbians had minimal or no reply due to lack of ammunition. The Serbian Army had completely exhausted its ammunition supplies and pleaded with France and Russia for more.

Both sides spent the month of October replacing losses, but the Serbians could not match the replacement rate of the Austro-Hungarians; the latter pulling in massive amounts of replacements from their "march" formations and fresh recruits, while Serbia had a much smaller pool of manpower and their replacements were further limited due to the near constant bombardments that inflicted additional losses. For the Austro-Hungarians, despite having lost a staggering 50% of their strength from the first and second invasions, by November Potiorek's armies were back to 90% strength, were reinforced by additional heavy artillery, and were fully prepared for a third offensive.

A week before the third invasion commenced, the Serbian 2. Army suddenly withdrew from the Macva Peninsula to superior positions at the foot of Mount Cer to the south. The plan of attack then was for the 5.Armee to smash through the new Serbian positions at the foot of Mount Cer, and for 6.Armee to launch another full scale frontal assault from Gucevo Ridge and Mount Jagodnja, this time with an extremely powerful flanking maneuver through Ljubovija.

The Serbian Army, already stretched to the breaking point by the previous two hard fought invasions and a near complete lack of supply, had but one hope: to fight a delaying action towards the Kolubara River and, if need be, to the hills southeast of Beograd around Arandjelovac, in hopes of surviving long enough to receive the much anticipated surge of supplies from the allies through Salonika. With the arrival of long awaited supplies and ammunition, the Serbians might be able to counter attack and snatch victory from the jaws of defeat.

[Size: large]

*See the notes document for information on scenario design decisions and historical notes.
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Sgt Jasper's ProfileSgt Jasper Well Balanced 10
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jonnymacbrown's Profilejonnymacbrown Well Balanced 7
Mr Grumpy's ProfileMr Grumpy Well Balanced 9
Sgt Jasper
Lieutenant Colonel
Sgt Jasper Wed Jul 22, 2020 4:19 pm
Very challenging scenario. Serbian side must resist the temptation to hold territory and conduct a phased withdrawal, bleeding the Austro-Hungarian forces.
Ricky B
Lieutenant General
Ricky B Wed Jul 22, 2020 7:20 pm
This requires patience for both sides. The AH can destroy their unit cohesion if too aggressive, while the Serbs need to buy time until their supply improves, allowing replacements and counterattacks to start.
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Volcano Man
Major
Volcano Man Wed Jul 22, 2020 7:25 pm
A nail biter at times. We (A-H) had a tough slog in the first stage (which is historical), but we kept good records on the losses we were inflicting on enemy divisions, so we knew their relative strengths (based on their starting strengths and situation which the notes say should be known and studied by both sides before the scenario). By keeping track of intel, we were able to know which divisions could be outright assaulted because their strength was low and eventually we overcame the Serbian defense which held a bit too long at times in places. In the end we inflicted +20,000 losses in men over our losses, and by the end of the campaign that extra +2,000 VPs became decisive at getting the Early Termination victory once we were able to cross the Kolubara.

Tip: Serbs have to hold at first, then give up the fortified line slowly. At some point they should then fight a delaying action, avoiding situations where the A-H gets to attack in a set-piece fashion.

Serbs must trade space for time, and try to maintain even parity on losses at least, but ideally a lower of level of losses versus the A-H's. Then at the end, Serbs can give up all objectives except for the final defense line, and historically be able to launch a just-in-time counter offensive beginning in December. Very tricky!
jonnymacbrown
1st Lieutenant
jonnymacbrown Wed Jul 22, 2020 8:34 pm
The Serbs must pull back as soon as possible all the way to their supply sources. If they stand and fight they will lose.
Mr Grumpy
Major
Mr Grumpy Thu Jul 23, 2020 8:44 pm
Great fun, the Serbian player must give way early on and then counterattack when their supply situation improves.